As things go with the weather, especially snowstorms and hurricanes, things can change as newer models get fed fresh information, especially around 72 hours. That’s when the short-term models start predicting. Yesterday the forecast everywhere was for a hard slam on Sunday, 2 inches + with heavy winds. Today, the short-term model shows just a little rain and lighter winds as the hurricane misses us to the west and the east. The other main model still shows 2 inches+. But there’s some hope. There will be a dry slot. Just don’t know where it’ll be yet. The NWS official forecast (very bottom) says 1-2 inches, but the top two images show you what the models are actually thinking. This is the total precipitation for the storm. Looks like they haven’t spoken to each other.
I marked Virginia Beach on this precipitation map. What a difference 24 hours makes! Don’t make outdoor plans just yet. Let’s see what the next 24-48 hours bring. Hope that Columbus Day Soccer Tournament remains dry. I’m tired of getting soaked.
FYI: How to Pronounce ISAIAS: CLICK HERE (ee-SAH-ee-ahs) TO HEAR
In Spanish, the name has four syllables, with the emphasis on the second syllable. It’s the Spanish form of Isaiah. I still can’t say it correctly, even after hearing it.
Best Overall Loop
Best Visible Loop
Forecasted Track
Wind Forecast
Rain Forecast
Technical “Discussion” from the National Hurricane Center about Isaias
Official NWS Precip Forecast: 1-2 inches.
