Virginia Beach Snowfall Alert for Monday 2/23
Multiple Models Showing Sudden Possible Snowfall Event (medium-large amounts for Virginia Beach) on Monday, Feb 23 --- Here are my predictions as of 2/18...
Chance of Snow: 40%…sorry but I have to hedge…models say snow but it’s been a winter where they say snow until 48 hours to go and then change to rain … (and then I sob quietly)
Snowfall prediction as of now: 6 inches — based upon today’s models. Roads are warm, will take a while to stick — it’s all about where the LOW is positioned and we are 120 hours away. The low has to be within a 20 mile zone for this to occur.
Chance of school getting cancelled: 100% if this verifies, and probably for 2-3 days — temps are going to warm up next week to the 40’s and higher so melting will occur, and I think Friday will be a normal, school day.
When? starting early Monday AM (like 1 AM), ending Monday evening
I’ve been watching the models over the last week. First one of them hinted at snowfall, then two, then three…now a few more. The problem was always where’s the cold air coming from, and will the low pressure ride outside the coast (good for us), or up in Virginia (rain for Virginia Beach). There’s no high pressure to send cold air down to us. This is going to be an event where the temperature is around 30-32 degrees. So wet, heavy, big flake type snow. Good for snowball fights and snowmen. We’ll be coming off some warm days so it might not stick at first. But as of today, let me share 3 major models that I track who are all showing the same signature. Mind you, we are 5 days out, but 5 days out is around the time to start blogging about this storm. My blog might change a lot because where the low pressure system sets up is EVERYTHING. 100 miles this way or that way and we get rain or nothing. I’m just saying as of right now, here’s what Monday looks like, according to the major models. This looks like the last chance for snow this winter, so if you’re a Snowbird like me, keep your fingers crossed.
Here’s the technical data — I will be updating daily if possible.
GFS: very most popular American model = 9 inches
UKMET: UK (England’s) best weather model: 6 inches
Canada’s best model: GDPS: 10 inches
